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Otway Ranges Environment Network
Calco log dump


Is native forest logging profitable? We argue that it is not. Find out why!
( photo:Kimberly-Clark log dump at the Calco timber mill)



     

LOGGING IN VICTORIA

AN ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIC APPROACH

WITH SPECIFIC EMPHASIS ON THE OTWAY FORESTS.

Contents

Summary

Logging in Victoria is performed using two main approaches and harvesting two forms of timber - i) logging of hardwoods from native public forests, and ii) logging of softwoods from publicly and privately owned plantations. The harvesting and processing of plantation timber has grown strongly over the last two to three decades and now overshadows the native hardwood industry, which has declined in sawn log production, but has increased the volume of woodchips produced, much of which is exported raw with little value addition.

Logging operations in native forests receive substantial subsidisation from the Victorian Department of Natural Resources and Environment (DNRE), so much so that the existence of logging in native forests would be in question without it. This subsidised logging, causes other damage to the Victoria's native forests, far from the financial losses associated with it. The conservation values of the logged areas are significantly diminished by logging, as are water quality and quantity, and recreation use within and around logged areas. Global effects from logging native forests include the release of significant carbon dioxide to further increase the Enhanced Greenhouse Effect. With a strong and expanding softwood plantation industry which has a current under - utilised stock of mature trees, the continuation of logging in native forests does not appear to be supportable economically or environmentally.

Introduction

Logging timber from forests can be a sustainable forestry practise, performed in a manner that provides the most financial benefits to the logging industry and to society. Moreover, such practices can be performed in a way that provides the most economic benefits to society as a whole. It appears that logging in Victoria's native forests is not conducted in such a fashion due to the existence of circumstances that promote this apparently uneconomical logging to continue.

In brief, the circumstances that combine to cause the uneconomical logging of much of Victoria's public land are : i) that the logging operations are not fully open to competitive forces, ii) such operations are subsidised by the Government, iii) are performed using sub optimal rotation periods given all uses of such forests, and iv) do not correctly value the non logging benefits received from the logged areas (Dragun, 1995, page 3). That is the trees are too cheap and royalties do not reflect their value. The logging of native forests in the Otway Ranges in south western Victoria is an example of such practices.

The combined effects of such factors is that the Victorian Government continues to heavily subsidise logging operations within our native forests to the financial detriment of the State; and while this continues softwood plantations will be disadvantaged and under - utilised, and the other values of the native forests, ecological and industrial, will continue to be harmed.

Forestry Economics

When performing economic analysis of timber harvesting, there are a number of factors that need to be known and utilised so that the most efficient use of the resource can be made. These factors are as follows : the applicable discount rate, the growth rate of the trees to be harvested, the cost of harvesting, the revenue received from harvesting, the cost of planting / re-establishing the forest / plantation, other charges / revenues imposed / received from the timber logging process (Teitenberg, 1992, pages 250 -252). Additional factors that should be taken into consideration are : changes in i) the relative price of the timber over time, ii) the harvesting costs, & iii) the replanting / re-establishing costs; and the non logging values of the area logged and other affected areas and industries (Teitenberg, 1992, pages 254 -255). It is assumed in an infinite time-horizon model that the costs incurred to plant / re-establish the forest are borne immediately, while the harvesting costs are borne at some time in the future, and are hence discounted (Teitenberg, 1992, page 251). The presence and use of these factors will be later analysed in relation to the logging practices - both plantation and in native forests. It is a socialisation of costs and a privatisation of profits.

Logging in Victoria

Logging in Victoria can be divided into two main forms - plantation logging, and logging from native forests. There are a number of significant differences between these two approaches.

Plantation Logging

Plantation logging is primarily a commercial venture where land is (usually) used with the sole purpose of growing timber for harvest. The conservation values of such plantations are quite low due to the uniform age and tree species present. When producing timber with plantations, the plantation owner / manager has the choice of replanting after harvest, or utilising the land for another purpose. 'Softwoods' are predominantly grown in plantations, though hardwoods are also grown, and fast growing species are usually chosen so that they can be quickly harvested and provide a financial return as rapidly as possibly. However plantations also provide revenues over the growing life of the plantation, as 'thinned' limbs or trees are sold (Clark, October 1995, 1995, page 2).

The main costs involved in plantation timber are the cost to purchase or rent the land, the costs to initially establish the plantation, thinning and pruning over the life of the plantation to increase the timber quality and quantity, insurance, and the maintenance of access roads. The harvest rotation - or time involved between planting and harvesting a plantation is often between 25 and 40 years, with the common Pinus Radiata / radiata pine, having a rotation of 30 years (Noble, 1996, page 4).

Many small plantations have been established in Victoria over the past three or four decades and contribute to a sixth of the State's plantations, while the three large companies of Amcor, Auspine and CSR hold a third, with public holdings of plantations making up the remaining half (Clark, July 1995, page 160). Australia in total has over 1 million hectares of plantations - softwood 86 %, and hardwoods making up the remaining 14 %; and three quarters of this amount is managed by the States, or the Federal Government (Clark, July 1995, page xi, and page 9).

Plantations currently supply about 10 million m3 of wood products per year, 80% of which is processed in Australia for pulp, paper, wood panels and sawn timber, employing some 30 000 people in the industry (Clark, October 1995, page 6). The industry already has 55 % of the domestic sawntimber market, and 64 % of the market of raw wood fibre for use in paper production (Clark, October 1995, page 2). Growth in the plantation industry has been steady and strong at about 2% annually since the seventies, at which time it surpassed timber production from native forests (Traill, 1995, page 22). Recent growth has been even stronger, with an 8% growth in sawntimber from plantations occurring over the year ending June 1995 (Clark, October 1995, page 6). The prospects for the plantation industry - for production and employment, are very good, with the industry expecting to supply 16 million m3 of wood annually by the year 2000, and 18.5 million m3 by 2005. (Clark, October 1995, page 6) (Clark, July 1995, page xi).

88,000 hectares, or 24 million m3, or 10.5% of the total area of soft wood plantations is ready for harvesting now and are not utilised by their owners - which are the respective managing Governments for the most part (Clark, October 1995, page 6). Utilisation of this resource would generate around $3 billion in total revenue, with from $475 to $830 million going to plantation owners, and would help develop the softwood industry, and could replace the total native forest sawlog cut for six years (Clark, October 1995, page 6).

Applying economics to plantation logging

Forestry economics can easily be applied to plantations, as the relevant conditions such as: value and timing of costs, applicable discount rate, value of timber, future values of the land and alternative practices, and values of non timber uses can all be relatively easily obtained, leading one to think that optimal economic decisions regarding the plantation management can occur in the Victorian plantation industry. This ease exists because of the primarily commercial and sole purpose focus of the plantation.

Native Forest Logging

DNRE Victoria overseas the harvesting of timber form Victoria's public land (Dragun, 1995, page 5). One private company is given permission by DNRE to harvest set quotas of timber from designated areas and subcontracts the total harvest out to other logging firms (Simon Birrell, private communication). The logging firms then pay royalties to DNRE for this right. DNRE themselves, and not the logging firms, are responsible for re-establishing the logged areas, or coupes, which range from 10 to 100 hectares in size (Traill, 1995, page 9).

The coupes are often left by DNRE to regenerate naturally, however across Victoria more than 10% of coupes fail to regenerate eucalypts adequately, such that a 1994 DCNR report identified some 25 000 hectares of nonregenerated 'forest' (Traill, 1995, page 10). Such failures require substantial expense by DNRE to artificially replant the coupes at a cost of $300 per hectare, resulting in a total of $7.5 million to regenerate Victorian failed coupes in 1994 (Traill, 1995, page 10). In addition to regeneration costs, DNRE is responsible for constructing and maintaining the roads that provide access for the logging equipment, and fire prevention.

Native forests are harvested for their 'hardwoods', and are done so on a rotation between 50 to 80 years (Traill, 1995, page 11). Native forest logging occurs in areas which are public domain, and are used for a number of uses (Dragun, 1995, page 5). As such, DNRE cannot decide to allocate areas solely for timber production as could be done in commercial plantations, and has an obligation to ensure the continuance of non - logging values in such areas that are logged.

Applying economics to native forest logging

It is much harder to obtain or determine the information required to correctly apply a forestry economic analysis to logging in native forests. Logging and management of the forest is performed by two separate entities - firstly the logging companies who pay DNRE royalties for the timber they harvest, and DNRE who regenerates the logged coupes and provides ongoing management of the forest, as well as management for alternative, and often competing uses of the native forests. Because of the separation between logging companies and the DNRE, is it harder to collate information about the whole logging process from native forests. To date, analysis has focused on the operations of DNRE.

Andrew Dragun found in his 1995 paper that the then DCNR (now the DNRE) were reluctant to provide economic and financial information regarding logging operations in native forests, withholding information from requests through the Freedom of Information provisions (Dragun, 1995, page 7). He further found that due to the range of operations pursued by the Department, expenses and revenues could be arbitrarily attributed to logging, which again makes it difficult to economically analyse logging operations (Dragun, 1995, page 12).

Effects of Logging Native Forests

Clear felling within a coupe is the primary method of timber harvesting in Victoria's native forests; though other methods such as selective logging were used till the 1950s, when the chain saw and bulldozers led to the use of less discriminative harvesting practices (Traill, 1995, page 5). During the process of clear felling, some mature trees - the so called habitat trees - are left standing within the coupe to provide habitat for animals, especially those that require tree hollows (Traill, 1995, page 9). Tree hollows only start to develop in native trees which are between the age of 120 & 200 years, and given that the rotation within native forests is below this time, it is important that habitat trees are left behind to support animal life (Traill, 1995, page 18). Unfortunately, many of these habitat trees have their roots damaged by the heavy logging equipment and regeneration fires, and combined with the effects of exposure and wind damage, often die (Traill, 1995, page 18).

The regenerating forest uses more water than a mature forest, thus reducing the water produced by the logged area by 4 megalitres per hectare over an 80 year logging rotation, which when applied over the 800 000 hectares logged during such a rotation at $20 per megalitre, equates to a loss of 3.2 million megalitres of water costing $64 million per year (Dragun, 1995, page 17). The loss of the forest releases much of the carbon dioxide which was previously locked up in the standing mature forest, some 300 tonnes per hectare of old growth forest (Traill, 1995, page 12). This carbon dioxide release comes from the DNRE 'regeneration' fires that burn much of the scraps left on the coupe floor, and from the burning of firewood harvested from the coupe, and the decomposition of paper produced from wood pulp (Traill, 1995, page 12).

Victorian Logging Economics

The DNRE reported a loss of $3 million for its Native Hardwood logging operations for the 1992/93 financial year, and a loss of $10.5 million for the previous year (Dragun, 1995, page 14). Dragun analysed DNRE's reports and arrived at a loss of $60 and $72 million respectively for these years, identifying an annual error of $60 million in DNRE's accounting process (Dragun, 1995, page 14).

The Victorian Auditor General in a 1993 report calculated a loss of $13 million for DNRE's 1991/92 financial year, and found that 'a degree of uncertainty surrounds the classification of certain costs excluded from the commercial accounts prepared by the Department' (Traill, 1995, page 23) (Victorian Auditor General, 1993, page 136 in Traill, 1995, page 23).

Dragun identified a direct annual DNRE subsidy of $50 million, with DNRE receiving $41 million in revenue from logging operations, while paying $91 million in expenses (Dragun, 1995, page 3). Dragun included identified further annual expenses which can be attributed to native hard wood logging : i) $10 million in continuing salary redundancy, ii) $100 million liability in Loans Council provision for forest investment, iii) foregone water production revenues of $65 million, iv) and the loss of $160 million in conservation values, v) as well as additional and unvalued losses of recreational use, and agricultural and fishery production (Dragun, 1995, page 3). Dragun states that the DNRE subsidises native timber logging from between $50 million to $385 million dollars annually, which equates to the Government spending at least $2.25 for every dollar it receives in timber royalties (Dragun, 1995, page 3).

Economically the presence of a subsidy increases the amount of logging that would otherwise take place in native forests. This can be seen in figure 1, which illustrates a situation where subsidisation occurs as the cost to society (& DNRE) is larger than the costs incurred by the logging industry. Figure 1 shows that the quantity arrived at by the intersection of the firm's marginal cost curve (MC) and the marginal revenue curve (MR) is greater than that arrived at by the intersection of the society's MC curve and the MR curve. With this given, the presence of the subsidy increases the level of timber that should economically be harvested, and reduces the price charged for this wood. The subsidy causes a dead weight loss, and Dragun feels, given that just the value of the direct subsidisation is about the net value of the timber logged from the native forests ($60 million), that logging should be halted in native forests, due to dead weight loss that is accruing to society from logging operations (Dragun, 1995, page 18).

Logging in the Otways

DNRE, in it's draft wood utilisation plan for 1996/97, states that there will be a total of 42600 m3 net in license commitments in the Otway Forest Management Area, broken down into the following amounts by grade of wood (A is best, E is worst, followed by fire wood and residual/ pulp wood): B+ 5280, C 26155, D 11 165, with an additional 1700 m3 of Blackwood committed; while a total of 60 000 gross tonnes of residual wood is committed (where 1 m roughly equates to 1 tonne of wood) (Otway FMA (07) Draft Wood Utilisation Plan 1996/97 - 1998/99).

DNRE has softwood plantations in the Otways, specifically in the Aire river valley, from which in conjunction with private plantations has produced 150 000 m3 of sawlog in 1994 (Clark, July 1995, page 167). Softwood availability from the Otways is set to greatly increase, with 470 748 m3 of sawlogs available by 2005 (Clark, July 1995, page 167). Table 1 below summarises the 1987/88 wood production from DNRE Otway managed land (Brinkman & Farrell, 1990, page 94).

Table 1 : Wood production from and royalties received by the Department of Conservation and Environment during 1987/88. (After Brinkman & Farrell, 1990, page 94)

Wood Type / Product$Vol m3$ M3% Vol(Vic tot. per type)
Hardwood924,000 40,865 22.61 4.3
Blackwood 117,000 5,380 21.75 -
Hardwood total 1,041,000 46,245 22.51 -
Softwood sawlogs 1,169,000 33247 35.16 8.1
Softwood pulpwood 38,000 235288 0.16 1.4
Softwood roundwood 11,000 903 12.18 -
Softwood total 1,218,000 263869 4.62 -
Firewood 11,000 4746 2.32 2.2
Total 2,281,000 20429 7.12 -
While table 1 appears to show that native hardwoods are providing a high value product, the table has no area for hardwood pulp products, which may lead one to think that the very large softwood pulpwood figure is a combination of hardwood and softwood pulp products. This is a reasonable assumption, or at least is far more reasonable than to believe that 35 000 m3 of softwood sawlogs produce 235 000 m3 of pulpwood, while 46 000 m3 of hardwood sawlogs produce no pulpwood at all. The pulpwood data shows the low value per unit of this use of timber, which is even lower in value than firewood.

Conclusion

Given the total level of subsidisation identified by Dragun, native forest logging appears not to be economically viable as currently practised. Even given the direct level of subsidisation proposed by Dragun, or the level of losses identified by the Victoria Auditor General, or the losses identified by the DNRE itself, native forest logging is running at a substantial loss. With sizeable mature and harvestable softwood plantations currently available to the industry, and the increasing size of the plantation industry, it appears an economically wise decision to move logging operations away from native forests and into the plantation industry. This action would end the financial support the State Government is providing the native forest industry to the detriment of the State as a whole, and cease damage to other values such as water, conservation and recreational use, that have been occurring as a result of logging in native forests.

Even if logging was not ceased in native forests, and if only the Government subsidy was removed, then it would be likely that facing the true costs involved, the native timber industry would die a natural death at the hands of the Australian world competitive plantation industry, which has already made great inroads into the Australian timber industry, except for the pulpwood market, into which the native timber industry has now backed itself.

References

Clark, Judy (July 1995) Australia's Plantations: Industry Employment Environment, Environment Victoria Inc, North Melbourne, Victoria

Clark, Judy (October 1995) Softwood Plantation Sawlog Stockpile, ISBN 0 9587641 0 7, published by Judy Clark - Economic Consultant. PO Box Candelo NSW 2550.

Brinkman, R. & Farrell, S., April 1990, Statement of Resources, Uses and Values for the Otway Forest Management Area, Department of Conservation and Environment, ISBN 0 7306 0604 X.

Dragun, A. (1995) The subsidisation of logging in Victoria, LaTrobe University, Melbourne.

Noble, Philippa (1886) Marketing Your Farm Timber, Department of Natural Resources & Environment, Victoria

Otway FMA (07) Draft Wood Utilisation Plan 1996/97 - 1998/99.

Teitenberg, T.H. Environmental and Natural resource Economics, 3rd Edition, Scott Foresman, London, 1992.

Traill, Barry (1995) Woodchips or Wildlife: The case against logging our native forests. The Environment Papers, Volume 1, Issue No. 1, October 1995, Victorian National Parks Association.

Victorian Auditor General (1993) Report into the Timber Industry Strategy, Victorian Government Printer, Melbourne.

 

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